I'm bored, minor draft analyis
Posted: 07 Oct 2013, 22:35
Going to look at each round of picks and see who came out on top in each round. I'll also throw in captains even though they weren't drafted. I'll include the team captains first letter in brackets next to the player.
Also I'll include a number in brackets after their name to show the pick rating in relation to the pick order for that round. Example if I rate someone as 2nd best pick and they were picked 4th they will have (+2). If someone is picked 1st in the round and I picked them as the weakest in that round they will get (-3). Basically a positive means I think the captain picked well and a negative is me disagreeing with their pick priority. A zero is my conclusion that they were picked at the right time considering the other players in that round, not however considering the other players in previous or later rounds.
The captains
1. Asmo
2. Ratking
3. THOR
4. Paris
Honestly captain positions could be swapped up any which way you like. Most people will trashtalk THOR all day but he's not scared to do something unorthodox and he still catches people unaware when he juggers a flank. The negative against him is solid scouting should spoil his element of surprise. I put Asmo on top since he won the most recent draft and showed better captaining than he did IMO than in previous tourneys, he also cares! Rat won the first draft and is perhaps the most experienced team leader/captain here so I'd expect him to have a solid plan if not unit distribution each week.
The first picks
1. East wind (+1t)
2. Sam (-1r)
3. Tirri (0p)
4. Myrk (0a)
I put EW above Sam because I feel he's a better all round player who can handle just about any role. In terms of trowing I think I'd give Sam the edge. Tirri is down at 3 because he hasn't played enough in years and will have to play on 300ms hosts all tourney. Myrks at 4 not because he's bad but the others can generally carry a team harder than him. Also Myrk is probably not the trower for his team and the rest are.
The number 2's
1. Adren (0a)
2. Cruniac (0p)
3. Dantski (+1r)
4. PK (-1t)
Uh-oh the group I'm in. Asmo managed to grab Adren at 5 and his trower. Paris got a 2nd or possibly primary trower in Crun, while myself and PK will likely take on other roles. In sheer myth ability Adren comes out as the best in this round, however if his attendance is patchy then Cruniac was perhaps the wiser choice. I think THOR's pick of PK in this round was a mistake as there were still some better players available IMO.
3rd mans the charm
1. Arzenic (+2p)
2. Captain (-1r)
3. Chron (+1a)
4. Shadow (-2t)
But wait you might say, isn't Arzenic going to absent the first 2 weeks? How can you still put him first? Well because he's clearly the best player in this round. Also plans can change, if Arz ends up being able to show every week, Paris got an amazing deal. If the rest of his team can avoid going 0-2 in his absence, Par's team is in a strong position. The only debate in this round was captain or chron, chron couldn't even be bothered to sign up last tourney and I'm not sure if he's active so I put captain ahead.
#4 or the middle man
1. Browning (0a)
2. Slate (0p)
3. Zak (0t)
4. Pallidice (0r)
Browning is the best one here assuming he turns up. Slate is less likely to cause a team implosion or drop than Zak.
Fifth base
1. wwo (0r)
2. killerking (0t)
3. funky (0p)
4. punkuser (0a)
wwo should've been picked earlier, maybe even in the 3rd round. Like Arzenic he was a steal to get this late. I don't really know the strength of KK or funky and you could swap them around I guess.
Sixth or last pick
1. Arsenal (+1p)
2. Xmas (+2r)
3. Mark (-2a)
4. Prometheus (-1t)
Hold up! If Mark actually shows up regularly and gives a shit he is 2-3 rounds too late being picked. However he probably won't show up to a single game unless his team harasses the hell out of him. As for the others, Arsenal was looking to captain and that shows he's committed to this tourney, back in the day he was better than Xmas so he gets the nod. Prometheus is a player known to me by his frequent joining of tournament games and being booted because he's not in them. Expect him to show up one week, declare the tourney "gay" and then never be seen again.
Wight patrol
1. SamtheButcher (+1t)
2. Empty (+1p)
3. Codex (-2r)
4. N/A (no players left)
Sam shouldn't have made it into the last round of picks, I'd have picked him a round or 2 earlier so THOR got a good deal there. Empty despite being the greatest myther ever, hasn't won any tourneys recently so is below him. Codex looked like your standard new player when leading the Blades in MWC so I hope he's taken some time to sharpen up his game!
So finally going to end with giving 1-4 pts for each round based on my pick rating and total it all up for each team. This does not necessarily represent my views on team rankings just the pick rankings for each round combined. Obviously captains and the final round are excluded.
1. Par 18pts
2. Rat 16 pts
3. Asmo 14 pts
4. THOR 12 pts
Let the butthurt begin!
edit - including the plus and minuses of my assessment, remember positive suggests good picks, negative suggests weaker ones
Par picks +4
Rat picks -1
Asmo picks -1
THOR picks -2
Essentially I think paris did the best job of all captains from his position of 3rd in the draft, with rat and asmo next. THOR's picks were questionable at times but he did secure EW and some other good pickups like STB.
Also I'll include a number in brackets after their name to show the pick rating in relation to the pick order for that round. Example if I rate someone as 2nd best pick and they were picked 4th they will have (+2). If someone is picked 1st in the round and I picked them as the weakest in that round they will get (-3). Basically a positive means I think the captain picked well and a negative is me disagreeing with their pick priority. A zero is my conclusion that they were picked at the right time considering the other players in that round, not however considering the other players in previous or later rounds.
The captains
1. Asmo
2. Ratking
3. THOR
4. Paris
Honestly captain positions could be swapped up any which way you like. Most people will trashtalk THOR all day but he's not scared to do something unorthodox and he still catches people unaware when he juggers a flank. The negative against him is solid scouting should spoil his element of surprise. I put Asmo on top since he won the most recent draft and showed better captaining than he did IMO than in previous tourneys, he also cares! Rat won the first draft and is perhaps the most experienced team leader/captain here so I'd expect him to have a solid plan if not unit distribution each week.
The first picks
1. East wind (+1t)
2. Sam (-1r)
3. Tirri (0p)
4. Myrk (0a)
I put EW above Sam because I feel he's a better all round player who can handle just about any role. In terms of trowing I think I'd give Sam the edge. Tirri is down at 3 because he hasn't played enough in years and will have to play on 300ms hosts all tourney. Myrks at 4 not because he's bad but the others can generally carry a team harder than him. Also Myrk is probably not the trower for his team and the rest are.
The number 2's
1. Adren (0a)
2. Cruniac (0p)
3. Dantski (+1r)
4. PK (-1t)
Uh-oh the group I'm in. Asmo managed to grab Adren at 5 and his trower. Paris got a 2nd or possibly primary trower in Crun, while myself and PK will likely take on other roles. In sheer myth ability Adren comes out as the best in this round, however if his attendance is patchy then Cruniac was perhaps the wiser choice. I think THOR's pick of PK in this round was a mistake as there were still some better players available IMO.
3rd mans the charm
1. Arzenic (+2p)
2. Captain (-1r)
3. Chron (+1a)
4. Shadow (-2t)
But wait you might say, isn't Arzenic going to absent the first 2 weeks? How can you still put him first? Well because he's clearly the best player in this round. Also plans can change, if Arz ends up being able to show every week, Paris got an amazing deal. If the rest of his team can avoid going 0-2 in his absence, Par's team is in a strong position. The only debate in this round was captain or chron, chron couldn't even be bothered to sign up last tourney and I'm not sure if he's active so I put captain ahead.
#4 or the middle man
1. Browning (0a)
2. Slate (0p)
3. Zak (0t)
4. Pallidice (0r)
Browning is the best one here assuming he turns up. Slate is less likely to cause a team implosion or drop than Zak.
Fifth base
1. wwo (0r)
2. killerking (0t)
3. funky (0p)
4. punkuser (0a)
wwo should've been picked earlier, maybe even in the 3rd round. Like Arzenic he was a steal to get this late. I don't really know the strength of KK or funky and you could swap them around I guess.
Sixth or last pick
1. Arsenal (+1p)
2. Xmas (+2r)
3. Mark (-2a)
4. Prometheus (-1t)
Hold up! If Mark actually shows up regularly and gives a shit he is 2-3 rounds too late being picked. However he probably won't show up to a single game unless his team harasses the hell out of him. As for the others, Arsenal was looking to captain and that shows he's committed to this tourney, back in the day he was better than Xmas so he gets the nod. Prometheus is a player known to me by his frequent joining of tournament games and being booted because he's not in them. Expect him to show up one week, declare the tourney "gay" and then never be seen again.
Wight patrol
1. SamtheButcher (+1t)
2. Empty (+1p)
3. Codex (-2r)
4. N/A (no players left)
Sam shouldn't have made it into the last round of picks, I'd have picked him a round or 2 earlier so THOR got a good deal there. Empty despite being the greatest myther ever, hasn't won any tourneys recently so is below him. Codex looked like your standard new player when leading the Blades in MWC so I hope he's taken some time to sharpen up his game!
So finally going to end with giving 1-4 pts for each round based on my pick rating and total it all up for each team. This does not necessarily represent my views on team rankings just the pick rankings for each round combined. Obviously captains and the final round are excluded.
1. Par 18pts
2. Rat 16 pts
3. Asmo 14 pts
4. THOR 12 pts
Let the butthurt begin!
edit - including the plus and minuses of my assessment, remember positive suggests good picks, negative suggests weaker ones
Par picks +4
Rat picks -1
Asmo picks -1
THOR picks -2
Essentially I think paris did the best job of all captains from his position of 3rd in the draft, with rat and asmo next. THOR's picks were questionable at times but he did secure EW and some other good pickups like STB.