Team GKG
9 wins, 4 losses, 2 ties. 2 match wins, 1 match loss.
Stars:
GKG 9
Adren 9
myrk 8
Role Players:
Evil Jake 6
dac 5
pallidice 5
punkuser 3
classic 3
Team Asmo
4 wins, 9 losses, 2 ties. 1 match win, 2 match losses.
Stars:
Asmo 7
Gekko 9
PK 8
Role Players:
Enculator 5
Renwood 6
Killery 6
Bunny 5
Bali slp 3
This is probably the least interesting match of the week. I don't really see an upset going down here, Asmo foolishly traded myrk for PK and gekko has been seen nowhere. However, GKG's vocalized displeasure with gekkos play and his move to trade PK for myrk might cause Asmo's other stars to show up with a vengence. This is likely not the case.
Deciding Factor:
Stars
GKG's stars simply overpower Asmo's team, they could probably beat them 3v7. If team Asmo could even win one or two games against team GKG they could see it as a victory (just not enough of a victory to move onto the next round). Asmo's team might have more consistently 'better' role players on his team, but both teams role players will be less of an important factor in this match up.
5-0 GKG over Asmo
The Poles voted Nazi before they were invaded by Germany, and Asmo (7) has subbed for GKG's team the past few weeks [illegally for Evil Jake (6)].
2. Zak vs 7. Paris
Team Zak:
Zak: 9 wins, 5 losses, 1 tie. 3 match wins, 0 match losses
Zak 7
Tirri 9
Homer 7
Role Players:
wwo 6
Drunken 6
Bagrada 6
Sasper 5
Vantobia 4
Team Paris:
5 wins, 9 losses, 1 tie. 1 match win, 2 match losses.
Stars:
Par 9
Arz 9
Crem 7
Kilg 8
Role Players:
Kush 6
Dom 5
Spoon 6
TSguns 4
This match could potentially be the biggest (and probably the only possible) upset match of the weekend. Zak's team went through the QR's without losing a match, but ended up losing to team GKG in seeding. Team Paris has an abundance of overrated role players who haven't lived up to their numbers worth but could provide Team Par with some better play or reasonable substitutes to fill in Gaps. Zak worked on two of the maps also for ER, which tilts the sides into his favor. However, Team Paris essentially has 4 stars to 4 role players with his late pick of kilgrath in the draft, and Team's Zak's role players consist of deer's best; therefore this may lead to a close match. One could argue that wwo is on the 'star' level of cremisi, but they would most likely get smited after watching wwo's latest late night 2 team performance. One could probably try to argue that for drunken too, and again, that person would most likely eat their own shit.
Deciding Factor:
Role Players.
I'm not going to get into too much here, but will "Deer" perform as better role players than Paris' squad of relatively unknown and less desired role players? Will Paris even be able to utilize his role players into roles they will be able to comfortably support their star players with? If the deciding factor in this matchup is the Stars I think the match would tilt more into Team Paris', however since I believe it will be based on the role players I'd like to once again bring up the "Random Players vs Random Deer Players" argument. Don't get me wrong, Zak has 'home map' advantage, one of the GOAT mythers and one of the best MWC role players a myther could ask for; and I never win a tournament I participate in, but I know how this one feels to me...
3-2 Paris over Zak
Somewhere, recently in the real world, #15 Florida Gulf Coast upset the #2 Seed, Georgetown.
3. Ratking vs 6. Dantski
Team Ratking
9 wins, 5 losses, 1 tie. 2 match wins, 1 match loss
Stars:
Rat 8
EW 9
Flat 7
Rawr 7
Role Players:
Thor 6
Funky 4
Switch 4
Sight 4
Team Dantski
6 wins, 7 losses, 2 ties. 1 match win, 2 match losses.
Stars:
Dantski 8
Shaister 8
Brown 8
Role Players:
Honkey 7*
Master Chief 5
Milkman 6
Cookie 5
Alfi 3
Ratking's team did arguably as good as Team Zak and Team GKG during the QR's and are the draft tournament's defending champions, and dantski's team did abysmally after imploding during QR1. Dantski's replacement for crun, shaister, has made no matches. This gives dantski a good opportunity to pick up a reasonable sub at power rank 8 to help this his team out. Dantski's roleplayers are also better than Ratking's role players essentially rawr should be considered as a role player and there should be only 3 stars per team, but i broke the system for my team and it's reasonable to do it here. I also think the upset is less likely in this match than the 2v7, but more likely than the 1v8, yet I think dantski's care level is at a fair all time low even though he is teamed up with a cool bunch of players.
The deciding factor:
The Role Players
This will come down to Dantski's team either being able to match up with RK's team's stars successfully, and the collective play of his roleplayers pushing them over the top, or a match that will most likely rather be forgotten by the players of Team Dantski. Either that or Flatline, Rawr and THOR will collectively fuck everything up for team Ratking in at least 3/5 games, and Dantski will walk away with a victory and move onto round two.
4-1 Ratking over Dantski
* Honkey could have been considered a star, but cremisi said he would boycott playing for my team if I made such accusations.
Honkey was recently spotted arguing that Kirk should be able to sub for his team, with or without an account.
4. Ghengis vs 5. Limp
Team Ghengis
7 wins, 7 losses, 1 tie. 1 match win, 1 match loss, 1 match tie.
Stars:
Ghengis 9
CW 9
Demo 7
Slate 7
Role Players:
Father Xmas 5
SamtheButcher 5
Shef 4
Stick 3
Team Limp
6 wins, 7 losses, 2 ties. 1 match win, 1 match loss, 1 match tie
Stars:
Limp 8
Sam 8
Rabican 8
Role Players:
Falcon 6
Valentine 6
Arsenal 6
Scratch 5
Hunterlord 4
This is the most interesting match up of the week! If I could sub in the tournament, this is the match I would sub for. Sadly, I would only be allowed to sub for Ghengis' team, as per rules, but I'm thinking this will be the best match in the round unless there are any upsets. Both of these teams feature an NC and an NP power hitter, in ghengis/limp and cw/rab respectively. Sam has also been really active lately, but Ghengis had two very nice solid pick ups (with the #1 pick in draft order) with slate and demo. Chickenwire has not showed up for a single match for team Ghengis, but this leaves Ghengis with the deadly option to pick up a power rank 9 substitute player.
The deciding factor:
The Stars
Above I listed Slate and Demo as stars, but will they show up with stardom this weekend or play as role players instead? Limps role players are arguably better than Ghengis', but Slate and Demo would probably be considered role players on most people's opinions and, again, makes this match even more balanced. I think this will come down to the stars because a) Who will play for chickenwire since Ghengis deliberately picked CW even though they have beef, knowing he wouldn't play with him, b) Two of limp's maps are featured this week and he probably has more experience on them than Ghengis c) Ghengis is fresh off a 1v1 tournament victory. Limp thinks the deciding factor is the Ghengis vs Sam match up, in which case...
3-2 Ghengis over Limp
I'm not sure if this is Ghengis vs Sam, or Ghengis vs Limp. Maybe it's actually Limp vs Sam...
